Humans should watch some of the awful post ups from the 80s and 90s, and then come back to the present and see if they still hate three point shots so much.
The question with an analysis like this becomes whether the league will allow 65% of all shots to be three point field goals, or whether they'll change some rules to throw their body in front of that possibility. They've done this all the time for different phenomena, but mostly when the league had become too physical, and therefore too defensive. This is an entirely different kind of homogenisation, and it depends whether the rule makers see this one as a threat to the game, in the same way they saw the others.
Also, do you think there'd be any justification for thinking of the effect of three point volume on two point efficiency as quadratic? You did speak of low hanging fruit earlier. I know that hasn't been the case at all so far, but we're pretty much out of mid range jump shots to get rid of now. Perhaps this pattern will change soon. I have no evidence whatsoever to support anything I've just said. It's strictly a thought.
This was a very good piece my friend. In short, it will never be three much. Three point rate will only continue rising until they are by far the majority of all shots. I suppose it's on us to decide if that's good or bad for the game.
Humans should watch some of the awful post ups from the 80s and 90s, and then come back to the present and see if they still hate three point shots so much.
The question with an analysis like this becomes whether the league will allow 65% of all shots to be three point field goals, or whether they'll change some rules to throw their body in front of that possibility. They've done this all the time for different phenomena, but mostly when the league had become too physical, and therefore too defensive. This is an entirely different kind of homogenisation, and it depends whether the rule makers see this one as a threat to the game, in the same way they saw the others.
Also, do you think there'd be any justification for thinking of the effect of three point volume on two point efficiency as quadratic? You did speak of low hanging fruit earlier. I know that hasn't been the case at all so far, but we're pretty much out of mid range jump shots to get rid of now. Perhaps this pattern will change soon. I have no evidence whatsoever to support anything I've just said. It's strictly a thought.
This was a very good piece my friend. In short, it will never be three much. Three point rate will only continue rising until they are by far the majority of all shots. I suppose it's on us to decide if that's good or bad for the game.